Bad News For Trump

Created
Wed, 17/01/2024 - 01:00
Updated
Wed, 17/01/2024 - 01:00
Two can play this game Doesn’t it seem from the press’ perspective that good news for Democrats is always bad news for Democrats? Fine. Donald “91 Indictments” Trump won the Iowa caucuses Monday night. Handily. As expected. But with lower than expected turnout. Let’s examine why that’s bad news for Trump. The headline this morning is that, per entrance polling (Edison Research and major news organizations), “63 percent said that Trump is qualified to be president even if he’s convicted of a crime.” That’s bad news for Trump. Because 32% said he would be unfit for office if convicted of a crime. While it is unclear how many Monday caucus-goers were crossover Democrats there to put their thumbs on the scales, that means as much as a third of Trump’s support could bleed away if he’s convicted of his various charges before the election. Trump lost the 2020 election by seven million votes. If Iowa’s conservative Republicans are at all representative of the rest of his base, that bleed is enough to lose Trump the presidency again even if the Supreme Court doesn’t deem him disqualified from running. Other results showed that, yep, caucus-goers looked like Republicans: * 60% said they favor a federal law that would ban abortions nationwide. * 66% said they did not think Democrat Joe Biden legitimately won the presidency in 2020. * 64% said they decided who to support in the presidential nomination contest before this month. * 47% said they considered themselves part of…