(When) Will the Rate Hikes Break Something?

Created
Sat, 08/10/2022 - 03:09
Updated
Sat, 08/10/2022 - 03:09
There’s a lot of concern that the Federal Reserve is going to keep raising interest rates until it forces something to “break.” I share that concern. If you follow financial markets, then you’ve undoubtedly heard people like Scott Minerd say that he thinks the Fed will continue with rate increases until “something breaks.” He’s been arguing for some time that the Fed is steering us into a crisis by relying on backward-looking price (and other) signals for guidance about the underlying strength of the US economy. He’s