https://www.stlouisfed.org/on-the-economy/2023/sep/can-economists-predict-reces… Created Tue, 26/09/2023 - 19:30 Updated Tue, 26/09/2023 - 19:30 An analysis of 55 years of data from the Survey of Professional Forecasters suggests that quarter-ahead recession forecasts are fairly accurate but still have a great deal of uncertainty.