2023 Fundraiser

If you regularly read this blog you learn what you need to know before others do. Let’s run thru just a few, many are common knowledge now, but they weren’t when I wrote them.

1. That Covid was airborne. Everyone knows it now, but it was disputed by WHO when I asserted it.
2. That Covid becomes more dangerous each time you get it and that Long Covid is the thing to be scared of.
3. That schools were a primary vector for infection, long before authorities would admit it (most still don’t.)
4. That Russia would win the Ukraine war.
5. That Europe would be badly economically damaged by the Ukraine War and sanctions.
6. That China would win most from the Ukraine war, and that the US would benefit in some ways.
7. That most of inflation over the last few years was driven by pure market power jacking up prices.
8. That an age of war of revolution was soon to be upon us. (It has begun.)
9. That the IPC reports on climate change were vast understatements. (Said this long ago.)
10. That the political point of no return on climate change was reached long ago.
11. That the US would eventually lose dollar privilege due to abusing it. (Wrote the first article about that 20 years ago.)
12. That China would be the new strongest power (many years ago.)
13. That we would move to a two polar or multipolar world (everyone knows this now, but I wrote it years ago.)
14. That China would first take over manufacturing then take over the scientific lead (again, a very old prediction.)
15. For a couple decades I’ve noted that Israel was looking for a final solution for the Palestinian problem: ethnic cleansing ideally, but genocide was not out of the question.
16. Again, for a couple decades I’ve noted that the Israeli army was far weaker than it used to be in terms of competence: proven in the last month.
17. The decline of the UK would be faster and more serious than that of the EU.

And far more.

Of course I’ve gotten some important things wrong, but my hit/miss ratio is good.

A lot of what is written here isn’t predictive. I write about morals and ethics, or how to live the good life, or just lamentations of evil. There are also plenty of explainers of how things work now or have in the past, though I tend to do fewer of those than I once did.

Generally speaking, what you get by reading this site is more correct knowledge of the present and the future than any “reports” or think tanks I know of, and everyone can read for free: no multi-hundred or thousand dollar subscription gate.

That said, my work does need to be paid for because I need to eat and sleep in a warm place, and it’s paid for by people who donate or subscribe. Through their generosity, everyone is able to read. Because I have specific ethical views (rape is bad, Palestinians shouldn’t be treated like animals in a slaughtering pen) last year some saw some large donors depart for places where they could be told that clear evil is sometimes OK.

So, I’m asking my readers who can (if you would go hungry or forego health care or anything important because you give to me, don’t) to donate or subscribe (monthly subscriptions are very helpful but either is great.) You help me and you keep my writing available to everyone and I damn well appreciate it.

This years goal is $12,500. At that level I’ll write an article about the Middle Ages scholastic crisis, where the universities produces way too many people with degrees. This has some relevance to current circumstances and I’ve been eyeing writing it for years without quite committing.

But mostly, again, you are helping me and keeping my writing free and available to everyone.

Thank you, and again, if you are in financial trouble don’t give and I hope your circumstances improve (imagine a hug here. I know what poverty is like.)

SUBSCRIBE OR DONATE TO IAN’S 2022 FUNDRAISER

(Afterword. If you had a subscription and think it’s still running, please check. When credit cards change, the subscription ends. I always let people know, but email messages don’t always get thru.)