Biden is fine there and it’s nice to see him mingling with an average family and chatting about their lives. But what’s most interesting is the family itself — a dad raising two boys on his own, living a middle class life trying to build a future for his kids. He’s a school principal and the boys are average all-American teenagers. It just seems so … normal. I guess I need to be reminded of that sometimes. Anyway, here’s today’s Hopium from Scott Rosenberg. (There’s a lot more and you can subscribe here.) Trump is not winning the election, or favored, and analysts simply must stop claiming he is – They way our post-Dobbs electoral success and increasingly powerful grassroots is being overly discounted and Trump’s strength as a candidate is being exaggerated has begun to feel a lot like the false red wave media narrative of 2022. Take a look at these four independent polls of registered voters (not adults) released in the past week. What they find is a close, competitive election: Emerson 44-45 Economist/YouGov 44-44 Morning Consult 42-43 Lord Ashcroft 40-40 And for some reason, that the last NYT poll released in December has Biden actually ahead of Trump, 47-45 (+2), seems to be continually ignored by everyone. What all of this tells you is that the race is close and competitive, and we have to do to out and win this thing the way we’ve been winning elections all across the country. Suozzi’s polls had the race very close and he…