I wanted to share Scott Rosenberg’s analysis of this NY Times Poll that has everyone melting down today: It’s A Close, Competitive Election – Yes, the NYT released a poll today that has Trump ahead. Some initial thoughts: Lots of other polls show the race even, competitive – Three national polls released this week (below) have the race even. 538’s Congressional Generic tracker is tied, 44%-44%. A new battleground state poll produced by top Democratic pollsters has Trump and Biden tied at 40%. Another battleground state poll that hasn’t been released yet that I was just briefed on has it 41%-39% Trump, essentially the same results. Senate polling is slightly better for us than for Republicans right now. The Times poll has Trump leading among likely voters by 4 points, 48%-44%. This is a gain of 6 points for Trump since the December Times poll. None of these other polls have found a GOP surge of this magnitude or even a GOP lead. So the NYT results are not confirmed in lots of other recent polling which finds the race close and competitive, which is where I think it is now. Biden 36% Trump 36% – AP/IPSOS Biden 44% Trump 44% – Economist/YouGov Biden 43% Trump 44% – Morning Consult (Biden’s gained 4 pts in recent weeks in this poll) There are problems with the NYT poll – It has Trump winning both Hispanics and women – an impossibility. It’s likely voter electorate is +3 Republican – something we haven’t seen in a general election in actual voting in…