https://www.stlouisfed.org/on-the-economy/2024/jul/exploring-tail-risks-inflati… Created Tue, 02/07/2024 - 19:30 Updated Tue, 02/07/2024 - 19:30 An analysis of inflation expectations suggests that financial market participants see a 50% probability that CPI inflation could be higher than 2.5% over the next five years.