Rational expectations — a fallacy that matters for economics

Created
Wed, 22/04/2026 - 19:54
Updated
Wed, 22/04/2026 - 19:54
For more than 20 years, economists were enthralled by so-called “rational expectations” models … That such models prevailed bears testimony to a triumph of ideology over science … Good science recognises its limitations, but the prophets of rational expectations have usually shown no such modesty. Joseph Stiglitz The rational expectations hypothesis presupposes — basically for […]

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