Macroeconomics

John Lewis Cryptoassets and the crypto ecosystem as a whole has to face many of the same challenges as conventional assets and the regular financial system do. The same classic problems which are staple of economics textbooks (and history books), such as maturity mismatch, liquidity shortages, credibility, and collateral feedback loops. But whereas the conventional … Continue reading Old problems with new assets: some of crypto’s challenges look strangely familiar →

Galina Potjagailo, Boromeus Wanengkirtyo and Jenny Lam CPI inflation in the UK has markedly increased over the last year, reaching 10.1% in September. The aggregate increase reflects potentially different dynamics across disaggregated prices, from which CPI inflation is constructed. How much of the increase has been broad-based across a wide range of prices? We assess … Continue reading How broad-based is the increase in UK inflation? →

Rachel Adeney and Amy Fraser Operational risk is rapidly becoming one of the most important threats to the financial system but is also one of the least well understood. Cyber attacks are regularly cited as one of the top risks faced by firms in the financial sector and one of the most challenging to manage. … Continue reading When the lights go out: why does operational risk matter for financial stability? →

Julian Reynolds Moves in oil prices have significant implications for the global economic outlook, affecting consumer prices, firm costs and country export revenues. But oil futures contracts tend to give an imperfect steer for the future path of oil prices because, at any given time, futures contracts may be affected by a wide range of … Continue reading What is the information content of oil futures curves? →

Marko Melolinna Input/output networks are important in propagating shocks in an economy. For understanding the aggregate effects of shocks, it is useful to know which sectors are central (ie, providing a lot of inputs to a lot of other sectors) and how the central sectors are affected by and propagate the shocks to other sectors. … Continue reading UK productivity puzzle – a production network perspective →

Daniel Christen and Nicola Shadbolt Geoeconomic fragmentation is one of the greatest risks to the international monetary and financial system at present, particularly since Russia’s war of aggression against Ukraine. Fragmentation is likely to have wide-ranging implications for the global economy, including increasing the volatility of capital flows and exposing gaps in the global financial … Continue reading Precautionary facilities: stitches for a fragmented financial safety net →