For the last two months, the Australian labour market has gone backwards. The deterioration seems to have stabilised in October. The Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) released the latest labour force data today (November 13, 2025) – Labour Force, Australia – for October 2025, which reveals a slight drop in official unemployment and underemployment and…
Labour Force
One of the ways in which neoliberal dogma altered the relationship between government and the citizens in Australia was in the way employment services were delivered. Before this dogma gained traction, the Australian government operated the – Commonwealth Employment Service (CES) – which was created in 1946 as part of the grand plan to sustain…
Last month the Australian labour market went backwards. That trend is now consolidating and the policy makers seem to be finally getting their wish – to put an increasing number of Australian workers out of work. Two years ago, the official unemployment rate was 3.5 per cent. Now it is 4.5 per cent. That is…
I regularly warn against using the observations from one month to tell a story given that the data jumps around a lot at this frequency over time. It is clear that there is a lot of month-to-month variation in the data at present. The Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) released the latest labour force data…
Last Tuesday (September 9, 2025), the US Bureau of Labor Statistics published a news release – Preliminary benchmark revision for March payroll employment is -911,000 (-0.6%) – which told us that its employment estimates for the current year are likely to be significantly overstated. Given that the BLS has been under intense political scrutiny in…
Central banks around the world tightened interest rates starting late 2021 in some places and there was a systematic period of hikes over the next year or more despite the inflationary pressures mostly showing signs of abatement as a result of factors that were not sensitive to the rising interest rates. In Australia, the RBA…
The Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) released the latest labour force data today (August 14, 2025) – Labour Force, Australia – for July 2025, which reveals that last month’s gloom might not have been the start of a downward trend. The current data has blurred that outlook and the best we can say is that…
The Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) released the latest labour force data today (July 17, 2025) – Labour Force, Australia – for June 2025, which reveals that finally, the slack that the combination of the fiscal austerity and the high interest rates has created is feeding into the labour market as employment growth slows and…
Once again the Reserve Bank of Australia has gone rogue. On Tuesday (July 8, 2025), it held its cash rate target (the interest rate that expresses its monetary policy stance) constant at 3.85 per cent despite all the indicators suggesting that it would cut that target rate. The financial markets are in uproar because they…
The Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) released the latest labour force data today (June 19, 2025) – Labour Force, Australia – for May 2025, which revealed that the unemployment rate remained unchanged at 4.1 per cent for the second consecutive month. There was a small decrease in overall employment (-2,500) which was offset by a…