Before attending a recent talk by Geoffrey Blainey entitled “The Causes of War”, I looked again at his monumental volume – “Causes of War”. The first sentence of Chapter One reads: “For every thousand pages published on the causes of wars there is less than one page directly on the causes of peace.” I agree. Continue reading »
Economic Policy
Australian Government cabinet papers from 30 years ago show that Australian leaders suspected that the claims of weapons of mass destruction in Iraq were probably false. However, Australia committed troops because Australia wanted to ingratiate itself with the United States and was prepared to break international law to do so. This sets the standard for Continue reading »
When I met Andrew Leigh before his ‘Meet the Authors’ discussion of this new edition of his book, I had to ask him, ‘how on earth do you do this?’. Lyn Hatfield Dodds who moderated the discussion opened with the same question. Andrew Leigh is not only an extraordinary politician but an extraordinary person. Another Continue reading »
Australians have become locked in to US military planning, entrenching our status as a US staging post. In this more dangerous world is a country’s sovereignty now a myth? The real politics was exposed on September 15 2021. Labor leader Anthony Albanese was “wedged” by then Prime Minister Scott Morrison when he, US President Joe Continue reading »
Over the past decade, Australia has endured its worst stagnation in living standards since the Great Depression of the 1930s, and has lost its way in terms of economic policies that can restore prosperity, says Ross Garnaut in conversation with Michael Lester. Professor Ross Garnaut AC, Australia’s pre-eminent economic policy adviser and analyst over many Continue reading »
Is our dependence on mining a sign of economic weakness? Is Australia suffering from the “resource curse”? This idea is a strong theme in Ken Henry’s address to the Royal Society of New South Wales: Inequality in Australia. The mining industry is “the basis of our strong economy”. That’s hardly a contentious assertion: many would see Continue reading »
Just like in the US , the next Australian election will be decided by the cost of living. Both the US and Australian economies have performed quite well, in difficult circumstances. However, the lesson from the US election is that both Governments need to tell their story better. It seems likely that the core issues Continue reading »
Restoring the rate of productivity growth is critical to future living standards, but unless technological change accelerates living standards may not increase as fast as we are used to in future. Recent history of productivity growth Through history the reason why living standards have risen over time is almost entirely due to increased labour productivity. Continue reading »
Considerable heat has been generated lately about whether the treasurer should have the power to override Reserve Bank policy where it is deemed necessary. Howls of protest can be heard from the defenders — most economists among them — of Reserve Bank independence, that such a possibility could even be considered. The notion that the Continue reading »
Much of the expert commentary on Australia’s monetary policy settings is guided by what is happening in other countries. However, monetary tightening can have a markedly different impact in different countries, and while Australia appears to have been more cautious, so far it seems to have managed well. A brief history of recent monetary policy Continue reading »