Christoph Herler and Philip Schnattinger Macroeconomic Environment Theme The Bank of England Agenda for Research (BEAR) sets the key areas for new research at the Bank over the coming years. This post is an example of issues considered under the Macroeconomic Environment Theme which focuses on the changing infaton dynamics and unfolding structural change faced … Continue reading How does lower inflation uncertainty affect households’ financial behaviour?
inflation expectations
Natalie Burr In economic theory, expectations of future inflation are an important determinant of inflation, making them a key variable of interest for monetary policy makers. But is there empirical evidence to suggest monetary policy can help determine inflation expectations? I answer this question in a recent paper by applying a Bayesian proxy vector autoregression … Continue reading Shaping inflation expectations: the effects of monetary policy
Misa Tanaka Today the Bank published the 2025–28 ‘Bank of England Agenda for Research’ setting out the key areas for new research over the coming years and a set of priority topics for 2025. Misa Tanaka works in the Bank’s Research Hub and is the Bank’s Head of Research. If you want to get in … Continue reading Launch of the 2025–28 Bank of England Agenda for Research
Ivan Yotzov, Nicholas Bloom, Philip Bunn, Paul Mizen, Ozgen Ozturk and Gregory Thwaites Since late 2021, annual CPI inflation in the UK increased sharply. Alongside this increase, there was also a significant rise in firm and household short-term inflation expectations. In this post, we use data from the Decision Maker Panel (DMP), a UK-wide monthly … Continue reading Firm inflation perceptions and expectations: evidence from the Decision Maker Panel