inflation expectations

Natalie Burr In economic theory, expectations of future inflation are an important determinant of inflation, making them a key variable of interest for monetary policy makers. But is there empirical evidence to suggest monetary policy can help determine inflation expectations? I answer this question in a recent paper by applying a Bayesian proxy vector autoregression … Continue reading Shaping inflation expectations: the effects of monetary policy →

Misa Tanaka Today the Bank published the 2025–28 ‘Bank of England Agenda for Research’ setting out the key areas for new research over the coming years and a set of priority topics for 2025. Misa Tanaka works in the Bank’s Research Hub and is the Bank’s Head of Research. If you want to get in … Continue reading Launch of the 2025–28 Bank of England Agenda for Research →

Ivan Yotzov, Nicholas Bloom, Philip Bunn, Paul Mizen, Ozgen Ozturk and Gregory Thwaites Since late 2021, annual CPI inflation in the UK increased sharply. Alongside this increase, there was also a significant rise in firm and household short-term inflation expectations. In this post, we use data from the Decision Maker Panel (DMP), a UK-wide monthly … Continue reading Firm inflation perceptions and expectations: evidence from the Decision Maker Panel →