They fear their voters

Created
Thu, 23/03/2023 - 06:00
Updated
Thu, 23/03/2023 - 06:00
The Bulwark’s JV Last distilled what we all know about the GOP and their voters into a nice concise analysis: Roughly speaking, there are six things an elected Republican could say about an indictment of Donald Trump: 1.Trump’s alleged actions are deeply concerning.2.Let the legal process play out; I have faith in our justice system.3.No comment.4.Yes, Trump’s alleged actions are concerning; but because of various externalities, the wiser course of action would have been to not indict.5.Democrats and this Soros-backed prosecutor are out of control. We will fight this to the bitter end.6.Donald Trump is innocent of all charges; this is a miscarriage of justice. This is not science, but my sense is that the distribution of these positions among elite Republicans will look basically like this:¹ The two unlabeled slivers are “These allegations are troubling” and “wiser not to indict.” I peg them at 1% positions. Maybe I’m off at the margins But this is close enough for the purposes of our discussion. So let’s move on. Now this also isn’t science, but here is my rough sense of the percentages of elite Republicans who secretly wish Trump would disappear versus the percentage who really want more Trump: Do I have this exactly right? Probably not. But we’re in the ballpark. Give elite Republican veritas serum and the majority of them will tell you that they want Trump to go away and it doesn’t matter how. This creates an obvious tension with the first chart. If a strong majority of Republican…