2024 is a decade away in political years Dave Wasserman commented last night on the present chaos in D.C.: “What’s so wild about the current political environment is that if the 2024 election were held this November, I believe a) Biden’s numbers are so bad he’d lose to an indicted Trump and b) House Rs are so dysfunctional/out of sorts they would lose the majority.” November 2024 is a decade away in political years. Donald Trump could be appealing convictions by then, be banned from the ballot in a state or two, or be drooling onto his fast food while raging about beating Barack Obama at the polls in November as a regional war burns in the Middle East. Still, Wasserman’s warnings about Biden’s weakness point to some Democratic weaknesses I monitor. How is it Dems are cleaning up in special elections/referendums if their national poll numbers are so bad? Because in the Trump era, Dems are excelling w/ the most civic-minded, highly-engaged voters. Their biggest weakness? Peripheral voters who only show up in presidentials. — Dave Wasserman (@Redistrict) October 14, 2023 They skew young, unaffiliated, nonwhite and non-college. They’re also more likely to base their choice on a simplistic evaluation of whether the economy was better under Trump or Biden. On this question – and on immigration/age concerns – Biden is routinely getting clobbered. — Dave Wasserman (@Redistrict) October 14, 2023 If these infrequent voters will base their votes on “whether the economy was better under Trump or Biden,”…