https://www.stlouisfed.org/on-the-economy/2023/jan/are-state-economic-condition… Created Fri, 06/01/2023 - 09:00 Updated Fri, 06/01/2023 - 09:00 In November 2022, state coincident indexes for 15 states indicated negative growth. Historically, a U.S. recession occurred after the indexes for 26 states were negative.