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Created
Wed, 23/10/2024 - 06:00
Elon Musk and Charlie Kirk taking over the Trump field operations may be one of the worst decisions he’s made and that’s saying something: Donald Trump’s ground game in Arizona and Nevada may be undercut by canvassers working for America Pac using GPS spoofing to pretend they have knocked on doors when they haven’t, according to multiple people familiar with the practice and a leaked how-to-fake-location video. The ramifications for Trump may be far reaching, given America Pac has taken on the bulk of the Trump campaign’s ground game in the battleground states, and the election increasingly appears set to be decided by turnout. A bootleg how-to-spoof video, made by an America Pac canvasser in Nevada and obtained by the Guardian, shows the apparent ease with which locations can be changed to fake door-knocks, calling into question how many Trump voters have actually been reached by the field operation.
Created
Wed, 23/10/2024 - 05:00
One of Obama’s top strategy and data guys, Patrick Dillon, has written a statement today that I think you may want to read. It’s not just phony Hopium, it’s based on educated analysis, experience and possibly some inside knowledge. Anyway, I don’t know if this will be real or not and he admits he doesn’t know either. But this is his best guess. An excerpt: My texts are full these days of “are we gonna be okay?” and, then, a beat later, “are you really sure?” Over and over, my answers are basically “yes” and “as sure as I can be.” I also used to get paid to make big presentations this time of year to tell clients what was going on and what might happen. That process forced me to be rigorous in assessing every bit of data I could lay my hands on, and keep myself honest. That said, I’m no Nate (neither Silver nor Cohn.)3 I still believe at the end of the day campaigns are more art than science. Call it 51% gut / 49% data.
Created
Wed, 23/10/2024 - 04:00

My nephew told me he was getting into punk music and played me some stuff from this guy Machine Gun Kelly. I couldn’t help but laugh and roll my eyes. What these kids today call “punk” is embarrassing. It’s time they learn what real punk is from someone who was there when it happened.

I was there when Yellowcard opened for Good Charlotte. I was there when American Hi-Fi released an iTunes-exclusive EP. I was there when SR-71’s “Right Now” was in the Harold and Kumar… trailer. I was also there when SR-71’s “Right Now” was in the Old School trailer. Hell, I was even there when SR-71’s “Right Now” was in the Dude, Where’s My Car? trailer.

You think you’re punk because you’ve got a leather jacket and some chains? A leather jacket doesn’t make you punk. A powder-blue T-shirt that’s one size too small and a pair of brown corduroy pants does.

Oh, what’s that? You also like the new Blink-182 album? Yeah, I’m real impressed. If Blink-182 is still punk, then why haven’t they won a Kid’s Choice Award since 2001?

Created
Wed, 23/10/2024 - 03:00
I’m staying away form the horserace polls. But some of the other questins are interesting. Like this one: “Voters who made their decision on who to support over a month ago break for Trump, 52-48%, while voters who made up their mind in the last month or week break for Harris, 60-36%.” Voters who say they could still change mind? Harris +5 I don’t know if that’s meaningful. I can’t imagine why so many people haven’t been sure that they would vote for a fetid pile of garbage over Donald Trump. But if they’re coming around, that’s good news.
Created
Wed, 23/10/2024 - 01:30
Is the Harris-Cheney teamup unnerving the Trump campaign? Former Trump aide Alyssa Farah Griffin wonders if the Kamala Harris / Liz Cheney teamup is working against Donald Trump. Griffin reminds CNN viewers that as many as 20 percent of voters voted for Nikki Haley in Republican primaries even after she dropped out. The fact that Trump is still insulting her instead of reaching out to Haley voters is not the way to win them over. Team Trump is going after Cheney as well. But that’s because “Donald Trump is going to do Donald Trump,” says Republican stragetgist Erin Perrine. Whatever comes out of his mind (mouth) is his strategy. That is, if it’s not to simply flood the zone with crazy, Griffin adds. Anything to distract from his claims about using the U.S. military against U.S. citizens. Many voters are shrugging it off as Trump being Trump. But deploying the military against Americans is also the crazy coming out of Trump’s mouth. So if crazy is a distraction strategy, Trump lacks the self-discipline to adhere to it. Cheney, meanwhile, gets to say things Harris the candidate cannot, and from the same stage in joint events with Harris.
Created
Wed, 23/10/2024 - 00:31

“War is not healthy for children and other living things,” reads a poster titled “Primer” created by the late artist Lorraine Schneider for an art show at New York’s Pratt Institute in 1965. Printed in childlike lowercase letters, the words interspersed between the leaves of a simply rendered sunflower, it was an early response to America’s war in Vietnam. “She just wanted to make something that nobody could argue with,” recalled Schneider’s youngest daughter, Elisa Kleven, in an article published earlier this year. Six decades later, Schneider’s hypothesis has consistently been borne out. According to Save the Children, about 468 million children — about one of every six young people on this planet — live in areas affected by armed... Read more

Created
Wed, 23/10/2024 - 00:00

Our friends at 270 Reasons are gathering a polyphonic orchestra of brilliant writers, teachers, doctors, filmmakers, artists, and citizens of all kinds to weigh in about their plans to vote this November. These opinion essays run the gamut from advocacy for basic human rights to acutely personal mini-manifestoes. Read the rest over at 270 Reasons.

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Because She Supports a Ban on Assault Weapons

My children were six and four years old in 2012, when Sandy Hook occurred. I was horrified to see children, around the same age as my own children, killed. My own children grew up in the age of lockdown drills. They’ve become so desensitized to mass shootings that when another one occurs, they no longer seem shocked by it. When another one occurs, I’m no longer sure that they will even hear about it. They have become used to living in fear so that they have become numb to fear. Perhaps it’s not that they no longer care, but that gun violence has become routine, like the weather. It just happens.

Created
Wed, 23/10/2024 - 00:00
But he’s their lunatic Two weeks from now, Election Day polls will be open. Vanity Fair‘s Bess Levin summarizes what Donald Trump’s been doing with his last days to build a winning coalition. Policy? Did he finally lay out his health care plan after over eight years of promises? Perhaps explain his plan for resurrecting an America he claims Democrats “destroyed”? Did he explain [timestamp 1:05:00] how he’ll “cut your taxes, end inflation, slash your prices, raise your wages,” etc.? (More on raising wages in a moment.) If Trump promised everyone in Greenville, N.C. a pony yesterday, I missed it. “Donald Trump’s closing message to voters appears to be: I’m insane,” read the tweet from Vanity Fair promoting Levin’s take: Instead, he talked about the size a famous golfer’s penis, pretended to be a fast-food worker at a closed McDonald’s, and claimed every single goose in Springfield, Ohio, has has gone missing.
Created
Tue, 22/10/2024 - 23:00

Mansion: Moaning in the middle of the night
Airbnb: Changing the Wi-Fi password to alternate between zero and the letter O, like “00OO0O000O”

Mansion: Shouting, “Get out!”
Airbnb: Giving commands via posters, like EAT or LIVE LAUGH LOVE.

Mansion: Creating panic in their minds over the course of months
Airbnb: Inducing a nagging feeling over the course of hours that they forgot something at home

Mansion: Disappearing before their eyes
Airbnb: Being very responsive until they check in and then ghosting them

Mansion: Moving their possessions around
Airbnb: Storing a colander behind the television and maple syrup in the shower

Mansion: Creating cold spots in the room
Airbnb: Producing hot and cold spots throughout the unit with a broken thermostat