Edward Egan Headlines warn of a looming ‘jobpocalypse’, but the reality is more complex. Rather than simply causing a wave of job losses, the economic literature suggests generative AI could influence the labour market through several – potentially offsetting – channels: productivity gains, job displacement, new job creation, and compositional shifts. The balance between these … Continue reading Generative AI: degenerative for jobs?
Labour Markets
Michal Stelmach, James Kensett and Philip Schnattinger Economists frequently use the vacancies to unemployment (V/U) ratio to measure labour market tightness. Analysis of the labour market during the current inflationary period often assumes the V/U ratio is constant and compares this measure with a supposed pre-2019 equilibrium. However, the V/U ratio has trended upwards over … Continue reading What can 40 years of data on vacancy advertising costs tell us about labour market equilibrium?