A model that captures key vulnerabilities and structural weaknesses of developing countries' trade and production structures.
Our new INET working paper began as a background study for UNCTAD’s Trade and Development Report 2022. Since then, the world has evolved, but this essay has the same purpose as the original: To assess from the perspective of the Balance of Payments Constrained Growth (BPCG) model, the key current challenges to developing countries that spring from two broad types of factors they cannot control. These are, first, global shocks that affect the world economy at large and, second, major macro or trade policy changes in developed countries. The BPCG perspective helps to identify to what extent these challenges are rooted in or conditioned by the developing countries' financial vulnerabilities and structural weaknesses linked to their roles in international trade and capital markets.