Let’s take a look at the two candidates on the day after the debate: Blah,blah, blah. He’s just as offensive and nuts as ever. And this says it all: Meanwhile, here’s Biden. (I posted this earlier but it needs to go viral so here it is again.) Then he went to NY to dedicate the new Stonewall LGBTQ Monument visitor’s center. If you start this speech at about 10 minutes in you’ll hear him tell a story I’ve never heard before about how he first saw two men kissing when he was 16 years old and he turned to his dad for an explanation and he told him, “they just love each other.” I’ll admit it brought a tear to my eye. Nobody does that better than him. I know we’re all traumatized by what we saw last night. Despite the hand wringing by the pundits and anonymous Democrats, today is a reset. And today Biden is better than Trump. By the way, the Biden campaign raised 14 million yesterday. Trump raised 8. Just saying.
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I think we all need a soother potpourri. And a stiff drink.
Nate Silver is out with a new polling model that says Donald Trump has a 66% chance of winning and everyone on social media is having a fit. If you come across that I would just suggest you remember this: You’ll note that’s dated the day of the election. How’d that work out? Just keep in mind that these close races, as they all are these days, are impossible to predict and data guys like Silver should stop with this nonsense. All it does is make people nervous and unhappy.
Rick Wilson counts ’em down Rick Wilson via FKA Twitter: For the debate tonight, not only for the spin before and after, but for every Trump utterance on stage, remember the Rules of MAGA: Every accusation is a confession. Every denial is a full confession of guilt. Every claim of evil is projection. Every boast of strength is an admission of failure. Every fact is subject to Trump’s sole interpretation. Every law is a conspiracy against Trump. Every anecdote is pure fiction. Every casual cruelty and crazed conspiracy leads deeper into more cruelty and conspiracy. Every word is a lie, every lie is a promise of betrayal. Every person or group Trump claims to stand for, he loathes. Finally, Everything Trump Touches Dies. That sums it up neatly. But ICYMI, I’d add this about MAGA, Christian nationalists, or financial or tech oligarchs, or all of the above (it’s a type): They don’t want to govern. They want to rule. ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● For The Win, 5th Edition is ready for download. Request a copy of my free countywide GOTV planning guide at ForTheWin.us.
There was much hand-wringing July of that year was a real nail biter … and Obama went on to win by 4 points. How about 1992? G. Elliott Morris of 538 (formerly the Economist poll) has this to say about that new NY Times poll, dropped coincidentally on the night before the debate, showing Trump up 6 among registered voters. (Biden is ahead among likely voters,.) Caveat emptor It ain’t over til it’s over.
Thank God There has been an upsurge in google searches for Project 2025. The Biden campaign has noticed and they are here to help: Axios reported: The Biden campaign is using Thursday’s debate to launch a new offensive against Trump allies’ radical plans to transform the U.S. government, known as “Project 2025.” The Biden campaign wants to convince jaded voters that a second Trump presidency poses grave risks to the country. Biden officials see Project 2025 — which calls for an unprecedented expansion of presidential power — as a useful blueprint for what Trump’s return would bring. The controversial transition agenda was compiled by the Heritage Foundation with input from close Trump allies and former aides — some of whom are likely to take top jobs if he wins — but Project 2025 is not an official campaign platform. The Trump campaign points instead to the Agenda47 website for policies explicitly endorsed by former President Trump.
Rules. Yeah rules ought to hold him. So CNN believes it can keep Donald John Trump under control during tonight’s debate. They have rules. Rules will tame him. And no live audience to mug for. They’ll mute the candidates’ mics when their answer periods are up. Slate’s Molly Olmstead wonders: Will all those rules keep this exercise on the rails? CNN has said that moderators Jake Tapper and Dana Bash “will use all tools at their disposal to enforce timing and ensure a civilized discussion” (emphasis mine). But it remains to be seen what that means. If Trump begins stalking the stage menacingly or either candidate starts interrupting (or even yelling), will Tapper and Bash open up a trapdoor? Whip out a lasso or old-timey shepherd’s crook to yank the candidates offstage? Pull a fire alarm? And there’s no plan for live fact-checking. How will any falsehoods be curtailed? They won’t be. Trump is a firehose of falsehoods.
He knows he no longer has to legitimately win anything Propaganda uber alles: Donald Trump in recent days gave speeches in Washington and Philadelphia and greeted supporters at a cheesesteak restaurant in Pennsylvania. He flew to New Orleans for a fundraiser Monday, and called in to a roundtable with Black leaders on Wednesday in Atlanta. Ahead of what could be the most consequential political event of the cycle, Trump has continued campaigning and has eschewed intense debate preparations, even as Joe Biden has remained hidden away at Camp David to get ready. That’s made easier by the fact that he’s already declared the debate is essentially rigged. Trump and his team have worked to undermine, undercut and cast doubt on the historic debate before it’s started: They’ve questioned the fairness of CNN moderators Dana Bash and Jake Tapper. Trump and his allies have criticized the format of the debate. They’ve repeatedly asked President Joe Biden to take a drug test. It’s a playbook Trump has followed for years, most notably ahead of the 2020 election and his criminal trial this spring in Manhattan.
From 2015: Donald Trump’s plans to make America great again are going to include a lot of whining. Trump on Tuesday morning in an interview on CNN’s “New Day” proclaimed that he is “the most fabulous whiner” when confronted with an opinion piece that criticized him using the same label. “I do whine because I want to win and I’m not happy about not winning and I am a whiner and I keep whining and whining until I win,” Trump told CNN’s Chris Cuomo on Tuesday. This is what four year olds do before they learn that they can’t have everything they want when they want it. Trump never learned that lesson.