Good news about the electorate Pollsters Celinda Lake and Mac Heller discuss the changing age demographics of American voters: It’s easy to envision the 2024 presidential election becoming the third straight contest in which a veteran Democrat goes up against Donald Trump. Once again, the Democrat wins the popular vote but swing states are tighter. Could go either way — and has, right? But things are very different this time, and here’s why: The candidates might not be changing — but the electorate has. Every year, about 4 million Americans turn 18 and gain the right to vote. In the eight years between the 2016 and 2024 elections, that’s 32 million new eligible voters. Also every year, 2½ million older Americans die. So in the same eight years, that’s as many as 20 million fewer older voters. Which means that between Trump’s election in 2016 and the 2024 election, the number of Gen Z (born in the late 1990s and early 2010s) voters will have advanced by a net 52 million against older people. That’s about 20 percent of the total 2020 eligible electorate of 258 million Americans.
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This is a perfect example of how the little cogs in his mind creak to life to cover for the fact that he knows fuck-all about what she’s talking about. Think about all the times he’s said exactly that, “we’re working on that”, “we have a plan” “It’s so ridiculous”, “It’ll be easy.” He’s said that about everything from health care to nuclear weapons to COVID 19. He’s very stupid but his ego demands that he pretend he knows everything. We’ve all met people like this in our lives. What continues to astonish me is that at least some of his followers must be able to see that he’s completely clueless but they cheer anyway. I guess they just admire liars. Used car salesmen must see them coming a mile away…
He’s not good at this Jonathan Chait points out that he just refuses answer questions and he does it so obviously that even gullible GOP voters can see it: Florida governor Ron DeSantis abandoned his policy of only speaking to Republican Party–aligned media by giving an interview to CNN’s Jake Tapper. Unfortunately, taking questions is just one part of doing an interview. The other part is answering them. DeSantis conspicuously refused to answer any of the most newsworthy questions posed to him. Tapper asked DeSantis if he would sign a national six-week abortion ban like the one he signed in Florida: “Yes or no, will you support that?” DeSantis did not say yes or no: Tapper asked if he would stop arming Ukraine or stop giving it financial support. DeSantis did not answer that, either. Instead, he framed the question as being about sending American troops there. “A vital national interest means we would send troops to Ukraine.” He eventually said, “I am not gonna diminish our stocks, and not send to Taiwan, and not gonna make us less capable to exigencies.
Today, July 18 2023, is the 20,000th day I’ve been on Earth. It feels like a big occasion. That big counter only turns over about once every 27 years or so. This 10K chunk — what the ancient Greeks called a myriad — is about as big a segment of life that I can conceive … Continue reading 20,000 Days
Trump works every angle Whatever else, Donald Trump is relentless. He works every angle, tries every door knob and checks every window for an opening no matter how remote the chance: ATLANTA — The Georgia Supreme Court shot down Donald Trump’s attempt to derail the 2020 Fulton County election investigation in a unanimous dismissal Monday. The justices wrote that Trump failed to prove the circumstances were extraordinary enough to warrant their interference. The court also ruled that the former president’s legal team didn’t provide the “facts or law” necessary to mandate the disqualification of Fulton County District Attorney Fani Willis. “(Trump) is asking this Court to step in and itself decide the motions currently pending in the superior court,” the order reads. “This is not the sort of relief that this Court affords, at least absent extraordinary circumstances that (Trump) has not shown are present here.” But that doesn’t mean he won’t embarrass his attorneys by making them try, spend others’ money and waste still more people’s time.
It’s only July Friends got stuck on the tarmac at O’Hare Airport for three hours last Wednesday as rare tornadoes ripped through the Chicago area. (Local newscasters call it Chicagoland, but that just sounds to me like an amusement park.) There was another tornado warning on Friday evening. The heat is doing more than melt glaciers (Washington Post): As the Northern Hemisphere approaches summer’s peak, heat is testing the limits of human survival in Earth’s hottest spots — and demonstrating the extremes that are increasingly possible and probable against the backdrop of accelerating global warming. In recent days, China set an all-time high of nearly 126 degrees Fahrenheit, while Death Valley hit 128 degrees, two shy of the highest reliably measured temperature on Earth. Phoenix was expected to observe a record-breaking 19th consecutive day at or above 110 degrees Tuesday. And in the Middle East, the heat index reached 152 degrees, nearing — or surpassing — levels thought to be the most intense the human body can withstand.
If you want to understand what Trump might be charged with I recommend reading Just Security’s possible prosecution memo. We don’t know at this moment what Trump might be facing but we do know that he’s facing indictment in the January 6th case now that he’s received a target letter. This tweet thread from Norm Eisen, one of the authors, offers a succinct summary: The memo is unique bc ours is the first in-depth application of the relevant criminal law to the facts, building on the more concise criminal referrals the committee offered in its report We look at that report w/ skeptical eyes as prosecutors do We narrow the case to what can confidently be proven to a jury, and for the first time anywhere we consider at length, and of course in good faith, Trump’s defenses and how they will fare We can do that because of our all-star coauthors @NoahBookbinder, @DonaldAyer6, @StantonLaw, @EDanyaPerry, @DebraPerlin and Kayvan Farchadi, and our amazing editor @RGoodlaw.
Look at the garbage he spreads on Truth Social: Uh huh. Here’s another caucasian family posing in their mansion:
Yesterday, the NY Times reported on Donald Trump’s agenda for a second term should we have the misfortune to see him get one. It led with this: Donald J. Trump and his allies are planning a sweeping expansion of presidential power over the machinery of government if voters return him to the White House in 2025, reshaping the structure of the executive branch to concentrate far greater authority directly in his hands. Their plans to centralize more power in the Oval Office stretch far beyond the former president’s recent remarks that he would order a criminal investigation into his political rival, President Biden, signaling his intent to end the post-Watergate norm of Justice Department independence from White House political control. Mr. Trump and his associates have a broader goal: to alter the balance of power by increasing the president’s authority over every part of the federal government that now operates, by either law or tradition, with any measure of independence from political interference by the White House, according to a review of his campaign policy proposals and interviews with people close to him. Shocker, right?