Den tillträdande tyska förbundskanslern, kristdemokraten Friedrich Merz, har tillsammans med sin tilltänkta koalitionspartner annonserat en uppgörelse om att utnyttja parlamentets två tredjedels majoritet – förutsatt att de får med sig de Gröna – för att släppa på skuldbromsen. Syftet är att finansiera försvarssatsningar över 1 procent av BNP samt att skapa en infrastrukturfond på svindlande 5000 […]
economics
What does concern me about my discipline, however, is that its current core — by which I mainly mean the so-called dynamic stochastic general equilibrium approach — has become so mesmerized with its own internal logic that it has begun to confuse the precision it has achieved about its own world with the precision that […]
The book’s argument is that in straining to peer through the chaos and confusion of the world to the underlying mechanisms, too much economic thinking, both in Ricardo’s day and ours, mistook a small, unrepresentative sample as the whole picture. This has distorted the vision of generations. If your scientific ideal is a simple, logical […]
. I Tyskland har den så kallade Schuldenbremse (skuldbromsen) varit en central del av den ekonomiska politiken sedan år 2009. Regeln begränsar hur mycket staten får låna, med syftet att hålla den offentliga skulden låg. Kruxet med regeln har dock varit uppenbar — den hindrar nödvändiga investeringar i infrastruktur, grön omställning och välfärd. Sverige har […]
Michal Stelmach, James Kensett and Philip Schnattinger Economists frequently use the vacancies to unemployment (V/U) ratio to measure labour market tightness. Analysis of the labour market during the current inflationary period often assumes the V/U ratio is constant and compares this measure with a supposed pre-2019 equilibrium. However, the V/U ratio has trended upwards over … Continue reading What can 40 years of data on vacancy advertising costs tell us about labour market equilibrium?
Analogue-economy models may picture Galilean thought experiments or they may describe credible worlds. In either case we have a problem in taking lessons from the model to the world. The problem is the venerable one of unrealistic assumptions, exacerbated in economics by the fact that the paucity of economic principles with serious empirical content makes […]
First, Knight and Keynes derive from their different philosophical worldviews distinct definitions of uncertainty. Keynes’s is a wholly epistemic uncertainty concept (see Packard and Clark, 2020), the ignorance of an actor regarding the objective and knowable (a priori) probabilities of future outcomes. Such probabilities are discoverable by learning the underlying ‘probability-relations’ between causes and effects. […]