Rishi Khiroya and Lydia Henning If you asked people what skill they would most love to have, you might receive answers like ‘to fly’, ‘to be invisible’ or even ‘predicting the future’. If you asked people who worked in financial markets in particular, ‘accurately predicting the future’ would probably be top of the list. From … Continue reading Fossicking in the dark or twenty-twenty foresight?
inflation
The Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) released the latest – Consumer Price Index, Australia – for the December-quarter 2024 today (January 29, 2025). The data showed that the inflation rate rose by just 0.2 points in the quarter and has fallen to 2.4 per cent on an annual basis (down from 2.8 per cent). The…
I have been arguing throughout this latest inflationary episode that the central bank rate hikes were actually introducing inflationary pressures through a number of channels, the most notable one in the Australian context being the rental component in the Consumer Price Index. The RBA has categorically denied this perversity in their policy approach, and, instead,…
Today (November 27, 2024), the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) released the latest – Monthly Consumer Price Index Indicator – for November 2024, which showed that the annual underlying inflation rate, which excludes volatile items continues to fall – from 3.5 per cent to 3.2 per cent. The overall CPI rate (including the volatile items)…
There are encouraging signs that Canada’s economy and labour market are improving after a period of stagnation brought about by the Bank of Canada’s aggressive interest rate hikes in 2022 and 2023. Newly released data for the third quarter of 2024 (July-September) shows the economy has continued to grow, albeit slowly. Consumer spending was the brightest light in the third [...]
Rebecca Mari and Matteo Ficarra. Floods are the most costly natural disaster in Europe. In the UK, they account for around GBP1.4 billion in annual losses. Yet, evidence on the macroeconomic implications is inconclusive. GDP often shows a puzzling delayed response, and prices can be pushed in opposite directions. Using a novel county level data … Continue reading Weathering the storm: the economic impact of floods and the role of adaptation
Today (November 27, 2024), the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) released the latest – Monthly Consumer Price Index Indicator – for October 2024, which showed that the annual inflation rate was steady at 2.1 per cent and is now at the lower end of the RBA’s inflation targetting range (2 to 3 per cent). It…
Francesca Diluiso, Boromeus Wanengkirtyo and Jenny Chan. This post examines key aspects of climate mitigation policies that could matter for monetary policy, using insights from structural climate macroeconomic models (Environmental Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium). Three main findings emerge: first, mitigation policies – like carbon pricing – can be a direct source of shocks, creating potential … Continue reading Some implications of climate policy for monetary policy
Well, as I write this late in the Kyoto afternoon, Donald Trump has just made a victory speech after an incredible day of election outcomes unfolding. As I wrote last week, the only moral and reasonable position for a progressive to take in this election would be to vote for Jill Stein and send a…
Today (October 30, 2024), the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) released the latest – Consumer Price Index, Australia – for the September-quarter 2024. The data showed that the annual inflation rate rose by just 0.2 points in the quarter and has fallen to 2.9 per cent on an annual basis. The ABS also released the…