Tom Davies CHAPS is a critical element of the UK’s payments landscape, handling 92% of UK payment values despite comprising 0.5% of volumes. CHAPS is used for high-value and time-critical payments, including money market and foreign exchange transactions, supplier payments, and house purchases. We forecast CHAPS volumes to help CHAPS participants in making staffing decisions … Continue reading Balancing complexity and performance in forecasting models: insights from CHAPS volume predictions
machine learning
Marcus Buckmann, Galina Potjagailo and Philip Schnattinger Understanding the origins of currently high inflation is a challenge, since the effects from a range of large shocks are layered on top of each other. The rise of UK service price inflation to up to 6.9% in April might potentially reflect external shocks propagating to a wider … Continue reading Dissecting UK service inflation via a neural network Phillips curve
