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Created
Tue, 05/11/2024 - 02:30
All the way through the tape Heather Cox Richardson recounts how when in the 1850s it seemed “elite enslavers had become America’s rulers,” Americans (might we say real Americans?) organized and fought back, ending slavery once and for all: In less than ten years the country went from a government dominated by a few fabulously wealthy men who rejected the idea that human beings are created equal and who believed they had the right to rule over the masses, to a defense of government of the people, by the people, for the people, and to leaders who called for a new birth of freedom. But Lincoln did not do any of this alone: always, he depended on the votes of ordinary people determined to have a say in the government under which they lived. In the 1860s the work of those people established freedom and democracy as the bedrock of the United States of America, but the structure itself remained unfinished. In the 1890s and then again in the 1930s, Americans had to fight to preserve democracy against those who would destroy it for their own greed and power. Each time, thanks to ordinary Americans, democracy won. Now it is our turn.
Created
Tue, 05/11/2024 - 01:42
En statsbudget i balans optimerar inte det reala resursutnyttjandet i ekonomin. Statsbudgeten och dess ramverk ska i stället verka för Sveriges bästa, så att tågen kan rulla och sjuka får vård, skriver Erik Arnell, utredare, Johannes Borgström lektor och docent vid Uppsala universitet och Peo Hansen, professor i statsvetenskap vid Linköpings universitet. Det gläder oss […]
Created
Tue, 05/11/2024 - 01:25

Our friends at 270 Reasons are gathering a polyphonic orchestra of brilliant writers, teachers, doctors, filmmakers, artists, and citizens of all kinds to weigh in about their plans to vote this November. These opinion essays run the gamut from advocacy for basic human rights to acutely personal mini-manifestoes. Read the rest over at 270 Reasons.

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Because There Are No Rights, No Freedoms
That Some Extremists Won’t Try to Take From Us

When Kamala Harris says we must “turn the page,” women know this is far more than a slogan. It’s an imperative that every woman recognizes.

We know that Vice President Harris is right to say we’re not going back to the political landscape Donald Trump has dominated for the last decade. We’re done with that. And we’re not just turning the page, we’re writing a new chapter—switching to a whole different book.

Created
Tue, 05/11/2024 - 00:00

People always ask me, “Why are you so sad, Eeyore? Is it because of the election?” Election Day or regular day, it’s all the same to me. Here’s my advice for accepting the inevitable.

Take a Deep Breath

It’s not much of an activity, but then again, I’m not much of a donkey.

Vote

Sure would be nice to vote. Some of us can’t. Least of all, a gray, gloomy donkey from Great Britain with no US citizenship.

Sigh.

Don’t worry about me. Even if I voted, they’d just write on my ballot, “It’s only Eeyore, so it doesn’t count.” Nobody listens to me, anyway.

Say One Thing You’re Grateful For

“Things could be worse. Not sure how. But it could be.” Saying this out loud always makes me feel better. If that doesn’t work for you, you can always just feel grateful for havin’ a choice between two parties. Republican Party. Democratic Party. You’re lucky to be invited to any party. I wouldn’t know. Parties are for popular animals. Guess I’m not fun enough to be invited.

Created
Mon, 04/11/2024 - 19:00
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November 4th, 2024next

November 4th, 2024: Hey, if you want to get someone special some D

Created
Mon, 04/11/2024 - 18:23
Elon Musk threatens to do to democracy what he did to Twitter. By George Monbiot, published in the Guardian, 2nd November 2024   This is what happens when successive US governments fail to tackle inequality. While millions of people live in poverty, a handful grow unimaginably rich. Wealth begets wealth, and they acquire political power […]
Created
Mon, 04/11/2024 - 11:55

Our election forecast model is the most rigorous data-driven tool available. It aggregates and weighs polls, draws on fundamentals like the economy, validates forecasts based on complex statistical vetting, and generates thousands of Bayesian election simulations to explore the likelihood of every possible outcome.

Based on that, I can tell you with 100 percent confidence that there is a 50 percent chance of any goddamn thing happening.

There are many vibes-based hacks out there. But if you subscribe to my website, I will debunk this ridiculous wish-casting that tries to convince you anything is possible and give you a complex quantitative analysis of why anything is possible.

I’m begging you, innumerate rubes, to take a single class on statistics and probability. A 50/50 forecast really means no outcome should surprise you. That’s also what a 60/40 forecast means. And also what a 75/25 forecast means. My models can really only tell you who will win when it is so overwhelmingly obvious that you don’t need a model.