Don’t panic. Look to the Double Haters This poll is giving everyone a heart attack today and driving all the news. The media is downright gleeful. Fun for them! President Biden is trailing Donald J. Trump in five of the six most important battleground states one year before the 2024 election, suffering from enormous doubts about his age and deep dissatisfaction over his handling of the economy and a host of other issues, new polls by The New York Times and Siena College have found. The results show Mr. Biden losing to Mr. Trump, his likeliest Republican rival, by margins of three to 10 percentage points among registered voters in Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada and Pennsylvania. Mr. Biden is ahead only in Wisconsin, by two percentage points, the poll found. Margins are calculated using unrounded figures. Nevada+10 rep Biden 41% Trump 52 Georgia+6 rep Biden 43% Trump 49 Arizona+5 rep Biden 44% Trump 49 Michigan+5 rep Biden 43% Trump 48 Pennsylvania+4 rep Biden 44% Trump 48 Wisconsin+2 dem Biden 47% Trump 45 Based on New York Times/Siena College polls of 3,662 registered voters from Oct. 22 to Nov. 3 Across the six battlegrounds — all of which Mr.
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While we all wring our hands over the NY Times Poll, I think it’s important for people to see this. Just to keep some perspective: Ladies & gentlemen, the leading Republican candidate for president. pic.twitter.com/QOiDnWa3jv — Republicans against Trump (@RpsAgainstTrump) November 5, 2023 We’ve become so used to these confessions. https://t.co/bsJPWE98Rp — Sherrilyn Ifill (@SIfill_) November 4, 2023 The entire GDP of Hungary is $189 billion. Annual inflation in Hungary is around 20 percent. Orban is an authoritarian. Hungary does not border Russia no matter how many times Trump keeps saying it does in every speech he gives where he praises Orban. https://t.co/IHbZw0Uu9A — Ben Meiselas (@meiselasb) November 4, 2023 Trump: And we will together restore law and order in our country. We will completely overhaul the doj to investigate every marxist prosecutor in America for their illegal racist in the reverse enforcement.. pic.twitter.com/eftLSe9vX5 — Acyn (@Acyn) November 4, 2023 Trump: And when you think of it how important elections are, you have millions of people alive right now if the election was not rigged. They would be alive.
A Bigger We keeps winning The last four minutes of this Giridharadas dialogue mentioned on Friday is worth four of your minutes. The left must stop playing defense. We’re winning fights that matter. We are endeavoring to do a really cool thing in this country, which is to build a country made of the world, a country made of all the other countries…. We are trying to build a country where every kind of person from every last village on this planet can come here and realize more of their potential than they would have wherever they came from. We don’t live up to it a lot, but it is an awesome pursuit. Tell the story of what we’re fighting for.
On Friday afternoon, New York County Supreme Court Justice Arthur Engoron expanded his gag order in the Trump Organization fraud case. He made clear again that, in essence, he would not stand for any more of Trump’s or his lawyers’ attempts at intimidation via social media or verbal diarrhea: “The threat of, and actual, violence resulting from heated political rhetoric is well-documented,” Engoron wrote. “Since the commencement of this bench trial, my chambers have been inundated with hundreds of harassing and threatening phone calls, voicemails, emails, letters, and packages. The First Amendment right of defendants and their attorneys to comment on my staff is far and away outweighed by the need to protect them from threats and physical harm.” On Oct. 3, 2023, Engoron imposed a gag order narrowly barring Trump from making statements about his staff after he smeared the judge’s law clerk on Truth Social. The order did not prevent Trump from making any statements about the judge or New York Attorney General Letitia James, who brought the lawsuit threatening the former president’s business empire.
And listen Michelle Goldberg on “the argument.” It’s not an easy topic and she does a very good job of sorting it out: Last week, the Anti-Defamation League and the Louis D. Brandeis Center for Human Rights Under Law sent a letter to nearly 200 college presidents urging them to investigate campus chapters of Students for Justice in Palestine for potential violations of federal and state laws against providing material support to terrorism. As evidence for these very serious accusations, the ADL and the Brandeis center offered only the student group’s own strident rhetoric, including a sentence in its online tool kit, which praised Hamas’s attacks on Israel and said: “We must act as part of this movement. All of our efforts continue the work and resistance of the Palestinians on the ground.” Under the direction of Gov. Ron DeSantis, Florida has also ordered state universities to shut chapters of Students for Justice in Palestine.
He knows how to fail When Mike Johnson tried to start a law school it didn’t go well: In February 2012, Mike Johnson sent an aide on an urgent mission at the college where he had been working to open a law school: Locate a study that he believed would provethe project was financially possible. For more than a year, Johnson — the dean of the not-yet-opened law school — had been telling donors and the public that the institution, which would focus on training Christian attorneys in northwest Louisiana, was not only achievable, but inevitable. “From a pure feasibility standpoint,” Johnson, then 38, told the local Town Talk newspaper in 2010 after becoming dean, “I’m not sure how this can fail because … it looks like the perfect storm for our law school.” But he had still not actually seen a feasibility study commissioned by the parent school, Louisiana College,a private Southern Baptist college in Pineville, La., now known as Louisiana Christian University. The aide soon returned with disturbing news: The study had been buried in a filing cabinet. And it was all but useless.
But this looks promising Simon Rosenberg, who called the red trickle in 2022, wrote this on twitter: As folks ready their election takes for Tuesday night, it’s important to check in on the big advantages Congressional Dems have opened up in recent months. Perhaps most important polling data out there right now. Tuesday is off-year election day and because the Virginia Governor’s race overly excites the beltway press we’ll all be watching to see how the Great Whitebread hope Glenn Youngkin does. His race doesn’t really mean anything nationally but they will say it is a bellweather despite their huge miss in 2022. And whether or not this discontent with the GOP congress transaltes to other races is unknown. But it’s not good for them. And with MAGA MIke in charge it’s probably going to get worse.
It’s not good This guy is nuts and he’s leading a small army of nuts. We just have to hope that if he gets on the ballot that more right wing nuts than left wing nuts vote for him: At an anti-vaccine conference in Georgia on Friday, presidential candidate Robert F. Kennedy Jr. confirmed his commitment to the cause and spoke to his base about how he, as president, would serve the movement he built. “I feel like I’ve come home today,” he said to a standing ovation, crediting the assembled audience with his candidacy. He then laid out his vision for a Kennedy presidency, which would include telling the National Institutes of Health to take “a break” from studying infectious diseases, like Covid-19 and measles, and pivoting the agency to the study of chronic diseases, like diabetes and obesity. Kennedy has suggested without evidence that researchers and pharmaceutical companies are driven by profit to neglect such chronic conditions and invest in ineffective and even harmful treatments; he includes vaccines among them. “I’m gonna say to NIH scientists, God bless you all,” Kennedy said.
I just finished watching “Now And Then — The Last Beatles Song” documentary film, written and directed by Oliver Murray and produced by Jonathan Clyde of Apple Corps. I then then immediately watched it again. (It’s only 12 minutes long.) The … Continue reading
The greatest disjuncture in the social sciences is between the image that economists have of their discipline, and its reality. A decade before David Graeber published Debt: the First 5000 Years (Graeber 2011), the future chief economic advisor to President George W. Bush published a paper with the confronting title of “Economic Imperialism” (Lazear 2000), … Continue reading "Puncturing the Hubris of Economics"