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Created
Thu, 18/07/2024 - 19:30

Camping out on campus was not how many students planned to end the academic year. But the past nine months have witnessed unprecedented mobilisations calling for an end to Israel’s ongoing genocidal assault against the Palestinian people. In late April and early May, the inspiring student encampments that started in the USA and have since […]

Created
Thu, 18/07/2024 - 15:27
How Much Does Genocide In Gaza Effect The US Presidential Election?

I’ve been saying it mattered a lot for quite some time, but, finally, some numbers:

Foreign policy debates rarely determine U.S. presidential elections, although polling suggests that 2024 might be an exception. Nationwide, nearly 4 in 10 voters (38 percent) say they are less likely to vote for President Biden because of his handling of the war in Gaza, according to a July 2024 Century Foundation/Morning Consult poll of 1,834 registered U.S. voters. Many core constituencies—including independents, swing state likely voters, and Democratic Party activists—are angry at Biden’s unqualified support for the Israeli assault on Gaza.

Created
Thu, 18/07/2024 - 06:30
A bunch of polls out today showing that a huge majority of Democrats want a different presidential candidate but the race is still within the margin of error. So, as I have said before, Democrats will walk over hot coals to vote for a fetid pile of garbage over Donald Trump;. The question remains how many of those independent swing voters and 3rd party types will do the same. The race is still stuck. This is the NBC poll: In case you’re wondering whether Harris does better well, yes and no, depending: [T]he poll showed Trump doing slightly better among white voters when matched up with Harris instead of Biden, leading her by 16 points among these voters, compared with his 14-point advantage here against Biden. (These subgroups of voters, however, all have substantially larger margins of error than the poll’s overall margin of error, which is plus or minus 3.5 percentage points.) Among other demographics — by age, by gender, among Latino voters — there was very little difference between Biden or Harris. But the biggest differences between Biden and Harris in the matchup against Trump go well beyond demographics.