I know you think I’m evil. And a copycat. But I assure you, I’ve wanted to take out Causation long before Relative Risk stabbed Absolute Risk in the back at last month’s Stanford talk on the lethality of packaged, ready-to-eat kale. Absolute Risk had it coming, shamelessly trying to downplay a ten-thousand-fold increased risk of choking to death if and when you eat the plastic bag.
“The overall lifetime risk of dying from a moderate consumption of kale is one in one hundred billion,” Absolute said. “So multiplying that by ten thousand means your actual chances of dying from plastic-bagged, ready-to-eat kale are extremely low, just one in ten million. The increased relative risk is statistically insignificant. Also, if you take care not to eat or swallow the bag, that risk drops to nearly zero.”